Teal Group Predicts Worldwide Civil UAS Production Will
Total $65 Billion in Its 2016 UAS Market Profile and
Fairfax, Virginia – July 7, 2016. Civil Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS)
promise to be the most dynamic growth sector of the world aerospace industry
this decade, report Teal analysts in their latest market analysis. The emergence
of the commercial UAS market, growth in demand from governments around
the world to better patrol borders, and continued consumer drone growth all
promise to drive more than a quadrupling of the non-military market over the
Teal Group’s 608-page, 2016 World Civil UAS Market Profile and Forecast estimates
that non-military UAS production will soar from $2.6 billion worldwide in
2016 to $10.9 billion in 2025, a 15.4% compound annual growth rate in
constant dollars. Over the next decade the market totals $65 billion.
Commercial UAS Market
“The commercial segment of the worldwide market will lead growth in civil
UAS,” said Philip Finnegan, Teal Group’s director of corporate analysis and
author of the study who also has advised the FAA on its forecast for civil
UAS. “Eased airspace regulations, an influx of venture capital investment, the
development of a service industry and involvement of major technology
companies all are creating the foundations for solid growth.” Intel Corp.,
Google and Facebook made acquisitions and now are developing UAS
Worldwide commercial is projected to grow from $387 million in
2016 to $6.5 billion in 2025, a 32.6% compound annual growth rate.
Construction will lead the commercial market. All 10 of the largest worldwide
construction firms are deploying or experimenting with systems and will be
able to quickly deploy fleets worldwide. The three largest construction
equipment suppliers are all either distributing drones or planning to build
Agriculture, which will adopt UAS more slowly, will still rank second
worldwide. The ability to do unmanned spraying of crops and also do imagery
that can detect when and where to apply fertilizer, pesticides and water offers
tremendous potential. While it grows more slowly than construction, the
agricultural UAS market has the potential to continue to grow considerably
beyond the forecast period.
Low-cost, high-altitude, long endurance UAS for internet promise to create an
entirely new segment of the market. Airbus has already begun low rate
production of solar-powered UAS, and Google and Facebook are also working
on systems. The technology looks likely to be in place within several years to
bring the internet to areas of the world with no service.
Other important segments, ranked in order by ten-year size, include energy,
insurance and general photography such as real estate marketing. There may
be niche applications for delivery UAS during the forecast period such as
deliveries of humanitarian supplies to remote developing areas. Yet regulatory
restrictions and the uncertain economics of delivery make it impossible to
make a forecast for what could potentially be quite a large segment.
Civil Government and Consumer UAS
Civil government UAS will be a much smaller segment than commercial, but
the appeal is growing. The European Union’s creation of a new border and
coast guard in an expansion of its existing Frontex prepares the way for the
use of the unmanned systems. The United Nations is seeking to expand the use
of UAS in peacekeeping. Drones are catching on with public safety agencies
worldwide, particularly in developing countries.
The consumer drone segment will continue to grow although the explosive
increase of the recent past will slow. The continuing increase will be based on
easier to use systems with new capabilities and a broader range of suppliers.
In addition to examining the relative growth rates of the market segments, the
study examines investment trends by venture capital firms, and examines the
strategies companies are using to address the market.
Consumer drone manufacturers are seeking to move into commercial markets
by moving up the value chain. Defense companies are working to develop
smaller, cheaper systems for civil government and commercial use. Start-ups
are seeking to provide everything from data analysis to full service UAS
The sector study splits out civil systems from Teal Group’s annual UAS
Market Profile and Forecast to provide greater analysis. Now the civil and
military markets will be treated in their own volumes, building on the
experience gained through 12 editions of Teal Group’s UAS study.
World Civil Unmanned Aerial Systems, Market Profile and Forecast 2016,
examines the worldwide requirements for UAS, providing ten-year forecasts
by customer, region, and class of UAS as well as by market.
The Civil edition includes UAS market forecast spreadsheets, permitting data
manipulation and offering a powerful strategic planning mechanism. It also
offers searchable appendices of US and French UAS operators, including the
systems being used and their manufacturers.
Source of text and Graph credit: www.tealgroup.com
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